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Data centre server racks lit in blue, representing the AI capital expenditure cycle and the search for an AI capex payoff

The AI Capex Payoff Test: Microsoft Gained 8% and Meta Lost 8% on the Same Night

Microsoft raised AI capex 35% and rose 8%. Meta raised its floor and fell 8%. The AI capex payoff test changed overnight — it now measures contracted revenue, not conviction.

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Stacks of coins and banknotes representing household savings, illustrating the record 401(k) savings rate in 2026

Americans Just Hit a Record 401(k) Savings Rate. Their Balances Fell Anyway.

Americans hit a record 401(k) savings rate of 14.4% in Q1 2026 and their balances still fell 4%. Here’s why that gap is the most useful number in your financial life.

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Rows of servers in an AI data centre, illustrating hyperscaler AI capex and depreciation schedules

The $200 Billion Line Nobody Reads: AI Capex Depreciation Is Quietly Writing Big Tech’s Earnings

Hyperscalers will spend ~$760B on AI in 2026 but recognise only ~$211B of depreciation. Longer server useful-life assumptions add roughly $46B to 2026 profit alone. Here is why AI capex depreciation, not capex itself, is the real earnings-quality story.

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